Two possible candidates for the promised "October surprise":
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061029/ap_on_re_mi_ea/gulf_maneuvers_3
http://mediamatters.org/items/200610260010.

More reasons not to be cheerful:
http://www.chris-floyd.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=889&Itemid=135
http://winterpatriot.blogspot.com/2006/10/us-buildup-off-iran-false-flag-setup.html
http://winterpatriot.blogspot.com/2006/10/foreign-war-domestic-terror-martial.html.